Research
Long-form research on Polymarket, prediction markets, and DeFi.
Polymarket Sure Bets vs Aave Safe Yield
169M trades analyzed. 139K wallets quietly use Polymarket as a yield product. 75% of capital beats Aave. The math behind the strategy and why HIP-4 changes it.
2026-04-02
HIP-4 and the Threat to Polymarket
Hyperliquid's HIP-4 introduces cross-margin to prediction markets. What it means for Polymarket's order book, liquidity, and the sure bet strategy.
2026-03-25